The regulation first mentioned "transferring books to change risks", and property insurance institutions added "new ways" to clear risks. In the Action Plan on Strengthening Supervision, Preventing Risks and Promoting Reform to Promote High-quality Development of Property Insurance Industry issued by the State Financial Supervision and Administration, the term "transferring books to change risks" appeared for the first time. Because the term "transferring books to avoid risks" first appeared in official website document, and it is one of the ways for property insurance companies to clear risks, it has attracted much attention. Many people in the industry said that "transferring books to insurance" is to provide more choices and space for risk disposal by moving the registration place of problem insurance companies to different places. The concept of "transferring books to avoid risks" embodies the determination of government departments such as regulatory agencies to clear up industry risks. With the clarification of regulatory policies, it is expected that insurance companies will pay more attention to marketization and legalization when clearing risks in the future. (Securities Daily)Barclays: There is a high degree of uncertainty in the US interest rate forecast in 2025. Based on the baseline prospect of a soft landing of the US economy in 2025, Barclays interest rate strategists predict that the yields of 2-year and 10-year government bonds will close at 3.75% and 4.25% respectively next year, and the yield difference between 2s10s will widen by about 50 basis points. According to the report, interest rate cuts should push interest rates down, while longer-term yields are under pressure from factors such as rising neutral interest rates, high interest rate volatility, inflation risk premium and net bond expansion. But the incoming Trump administration will bring "great uncertainty".The annual strategy of brokers in 2025 will present "three major consensuses". At the end of recent years, the annual strategies of major brokers in 2025 will be held intensively, focusing on the interpretation of the new year's market, the market trend next year and the discussion and judgment of the allocation direction. Generally speaking, brokers have shown a "consensus" in three major directions. The first consensus is that it is generally believed that the A-share market is expected to become an important place for global capital allocation. In this direction, Chinese and foreign institutions have reached a consensus. The second consensus is to give optimistic expectations for the A-share market in 2025. The confidence of the organization's optimistic expectations lies in the fact that the market sentiment has obviously recovered under the boost of a series of positive policies this year, and there is still room for boosting in the medium and long term perspective. The third consensus is reflected in the direction of industry allocation. The new quality productivity based on semiconductors and computing power, as well as the policy themes based on mergers and acquisitions and market value management, have become a common optimistic track for many brokers. (Securities Daily)
Saudi Arabia said that Israel's occupation of the buffer zone in the Golan showed its intention to "destroy Syria's chances of restoring security".In order to step up military operations against Syria and expand its long-term strategic advantage, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a speech on the 8th that the drastic changes in the situation in Syria have brought so-called new opportunities and challenges to Israel. The so-called opportunity, according to the analysis of Israeli and Arab media, Israel is taking this opportunity to strengthen and expand its occupation and control of the temporary border areas between the two countries, even on the Syrian side, so as to gain greater strategic advantages over Syria and neighboring countries in the long run. Secondly, Israel can further attack the military targets in Syria and weaken the overall military strength of Syria. Thirdly, Israel believes that the drastic changes in the Syrian situation have objectively blocked Iran's way of providing assistance to Hezbollah, seriously weakened Iran's influence in the region, and helped it to further exert pressure on Hezbollah and Hamas armed forces in Gaza.Nymex January gasoline futures closed at $1.9525 per gallon, and Nymex January heating oil futures closed at $2.1835 per gallon. Nymex January natural gas futures closed at $3.1820/million british thermal unit.
The State Council, USA: American hostage envoy Roger Carstens has arrived in Beirut, and we are urging all parties to support this effort.The partner promoted by McKinsey is the smallest in many years, and McKinsey will accept about 200 employees to join its partnership, which is the smallest in many years.The monetary policy is moderately loose. Many chief brokers actively interpret "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment". On December 9, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting released many new signals, such as the change of monetary policy from "flexible and moderate" to "moderately loose". In an interview, a number of brokerage chiefs believe that liquidity support may increase in the future to better serve the development of the real economy. (Securities Times)
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13